Industrial Park Center LLC v. Great Northern Insurance Co. (Arizona Fortuity-Doctrine Coverage Ruling)
The Ninth Circuit on October 16, 2026 reversed summary judgment for Great Northern Insurance, reviving Mainspring Capital Group's $2.7M water-damage claim on its Tempe, Arizona building under Arizona's new 'fortuitous loss' test.
Industrial Park Center LLC, doing business as Mainspring Capital Group, owns a commercial building in Tempe, Arizona that it leased to a fish-processing tenant and insured under an all-risk property policy from Great Northern Insurance Company. After years of water and salt damage that an engineering firm attributed to preventive measures, a waterproof floor coating, a vapor barrier, and additional drainage, that were never installed, Great Northern denied Mainspring's roughly $2.7 million claim as not "fortuitous," and a federal district court granted the insurer summary judgment in July 2024. On October 16, 2026, the Ninth Circuit reversed that ruling and revived Mainspring's breach-of-contract and bad-faith claims, applying a new test for a "fortuitous" loss that the Arizona Supreme Court adopted in September 2026 in answering the Ninth Circuit's certified question.
Why it matters
The ruling sets the standard Arizona commercial property owners must meet to preserve all-risk coverage for damage tied to a known, unaddressed maintenance or design issue: coverage now turns on what the owner actually knew when the policy was bought, not on whether the loss was statistically foreseeable or likely without fixes. Owners who have deferred a recommended repair should document that the ultimate failure was not a certainty at the time of purchase or renewal, since insurers will otherwise invoke the broader foreseeability argument the Arizona Supreme Court just rejected.
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Case timeline · 4 entries Latest: October 16, 2026 — The Ninth Circuit applies the new test, reverses the summary judgment, and remands, reviving the coverage and bad-faith claims
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